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Harris County 2025

With the recent announcement that Harris County is facing a $270 million budget deficit for the 2026 fiscal year, county leaders have some tough decisions to make when determining budget priorities. With this challenge in mind, the 91ÁÔĆć Hobby School of Public Affairs’ latest survey asks Harris County voters about important policy issues facing the nation’s third largest county. What is viewed as the issue of utmost concern for Harris County as a whole? What do Harris County voters think about the quality of life in their own neighborhood? What approach do Harris County voters believe is best to overcome the budget deficit?  And how do they rate the performance of county officials and potential candidates for county judge? 

To address these questions and more, the Hobby School of Public Affairs conducted a survey of Harris County registered voters to assess their opinions about a wide range of local issues and public figures. The survey was fielded between July 9 and July 18, 2025 by contacting Harris County registered voters via SMS text messages through which they were directed to an online survey platform with the option to answer the survey in English or Spanish. Representative of the Harris County population of registered voters, the analysis population of 2,300 has a margin of error of +/- 2.04%.  Representative samples were also compiled for Harris County’s four county commissioner precincts, with analysis populations of 550 for Precincts 2, 3, and 4 (margin of error of +/-4.18%) and of 650 for Precinct 1 (+/- 3.84%).

This study includes four reports. The first report examines Harris County registered voters’ opinions on the direction in which the county is headed, the most important problems facing Harris County, the impact of factors on the quality of life in their neighborhood, the job performance of county election officials and on potential candidates for the position of Harris county judge. A second report gauges the level of enthusiasm among Harris County registered voters for a major theme park and motor raceway being built in Harris County and obtaining a Women’s National Basketball Association (WNBA) and a National Hockey League (NHL) team as well as their level of support for using public funds to renovate NRG Stadium and the Astrodome. A third report assesses Harris County registered voters’ concerns about the potential impact of severe summer weather as well as their evaluation of CenterPoint’s efforts to harden the region’s electrical grid over the past year. An additional report utilizes a unique survey population drawn from the larger survey project to analyze the candidate evaluations and vote intention of Harris County registered voters who are likely to vote in the November 2025 Congressional District 18 Special Election.

Report One. Issues & Politics 

With competing demands on a shrinking budget, this report looks at pressing challenges facing Harris County, along with neighborhood quality of life factors and evaluations of county officials and candidates.

Highlights 

More than half (57%) of Harris County voters think things are going in the wrong direction in the county, while 43% think things are going in the right direction. Although a majority of all demographic groups agree that things are going in the wrong direction, Republicans by far (68%) hold this opinion compared to Democrats (50%).

Graph: Harris County in the right or wrong direction

Crime (20%) continues to be at the top of concerns for Harris County voters, followed by the high cost of living (13%) and high property taxes (13%). When considering demographics, 71% of Republicans identify crime as the top concern, while close to one-third of Democrats (30%) and Independents (35%) rank crime as the most pressing concern.

Respondents ranked crime (45%), roads and streets in bad condition (39%) and flooding (37%) as one of the top three challenges facing Harris County today.

Streets in bad condition (45%) was most frequently cited as the aspect having the most negative impact on the respondents’ own neighborhoods.

When considering approaches to eliminating Harris County’s budget deficit, a plurality (38%) of voters preferred mostly cutting programs and services, followed by 30% with a preference for mostly raising taxes and fees. 32% were unsure of how best to handle the county’s budget deficit.

Graph: Increase Taxes or Cut Programs and Services

Almost three-quarters (74%) of Republicans viewed cutting programs and services as the key to eliminating the county budget deficit, which is in stark contrast to the proportion of Independents (31%) and Democrats (16%) who agree with this approach.

A plurality of Democrats (46%) favor increasing taxes and fees to overcome the county budget deficit, followed by 33% of Independents. Only 8% of Republicans preferred increasing taxes and fees to eliminate the county budget deficit.

Sheriff Ed Gonzalez has the highest approval rating among Harris County office holders, as 55% of voters approve of the job he is doing while 22% disapprove, for a net approval rating of 33%.

Table: Approve or Disapprove of County Elected Officials

When respondents were asked about approval of their own county commissioner’s performance, 49% approve of Commissioner Adrian Garcia (Precinct 2), while 43% approved of Commissioner Rodney Ellis (Precinct 1). Commissioners Lesley Briones (Precinct 4) and Tom Ramsey (Precinct 3) garnered the approval of 36% and 35%, respectively.

Table: Approve or Disapproval of County Commissioners

Among announced and potential candidates for county judge, Lina Hidalgo is viewed favorably by 44% of the overall electorate and unfavorably by 43%, compared to 37% and 17% for former Houston mayor Annise Parker, 19% and 17% for Houston City Council Member Letitia Plummer, and 8% and 11% for Piney Point Mayor Aliza Dutt.

Among Harris County Democrats, 66% have a favorable opinion of Hidalgo and 17% an unfavorable opinion, while 46% have a favorable opinion of Parker and 17% an unfavorable opinion. 27% have a favorable opinion of Plummer and 7% an unfavorable opinion.

Over two-thirds (67%) of Harris County likely voters have confidence that elections in Harris County will be conducted fairly and accurately, while more than half of the respondents feel that elections will be conducted fairly and accurately in Texas (59%) and nationwide (55%).

Read Report One to learn more about Harris County voters’ views about the direction of the county, challenges facing the county and their neighborhood, budget solutions and evaluations of public officials and candidates, including differences of opinion when considering gender, race/ethnicity, age, education and partisanship.

July 23, 2025

 

Report Two. Congressional District 18 

The special election for Texas Congressional District 18, called to fill a vacancy after Congressman Sylvester Turner’s death in March, is open to multiple candidates from all parties. If no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote on November 4, the two top finishers will go to a runoff. 

The analysis of registered voters who are likely to vote in the November 2025 Congressional District 18 special election has a margin of error of +/- 4.90%.

Highlights

Former Houston City Council Member Amanda Edwards and Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee are the top choice of likely voters in the race for Congressional District 18, each with support from 19%. State Rep. Jolanda Jones and businesswoman Carmen Maria Montiel are five points behind, with each receiving support from 14% of likely voters. 27% of likely voters are undecided.

Vote Intention Among Voters in November Graph

Net-favorability ratings are calculated by subtracting unfavorable ratings from favorability ratings. Edwards and Menefee have net-favorability ratings of 30%, and Jones has a net-favorability rating of 11%. Yet 35% said they didn’t know enough about Jones to have an opinion, while 44% said the same about Edwards and 50% said that about Menefee. While Montiel is viewed favorably by 11% of district voters and another 11% viewed her unfavorably, 78% of likely voters don’t know enough about her to have an opinion.

Favorable and Unfavorable Evaluations of TX-18 Election Candidates graph

Read to learn more about the opinions of likely voters in Texas Congressional District 18 about the Nov. 4 special election candidates, including differences of opinion when considering gender, race/ethnicity, age, education and partisanship.

July 29, 2025

 

Report Three. Sports & Entertainment 

Highlights 

Roughly three-quarters of Harris County voters believe that Harris County should fund at least a portion of the cost of renovating NRG Stadium. 26% of Harris County voters believe that the county should pay between 21% and 40% of the renovation costs for NRG Stadium while 25% believe the county should pay for between 1% and 20%, and 23% believe the county should pay more than 40% of the cost of renovating NRG Stadium. One quarter (25%) believe the county should pay nothing.

Cost to renovate NRG stadium

62% of Harris County registered voters support Harris County using public funds as part of a public-private partnership to help pay to renovate the Astrodome into an entertainment venue, while 38% oppose this initiative. 

Voter who support and oppose public funds graph

68% of Harris County registered voters are enthusiastic about a destination theme park resort being opened in Houston, while 32% are not enthusiastic.

48% of Harris County registered voters are enthusiastic about a major motor speedway designed to host NASCAR, Formula I and IndyCar races being opened in Houston, while 52% are not enthusiastic.

64% of Harris County registered voters are enthusiastic about Houston getting a Women’s National Basketball Association (WNBA) team and 61% of them are enthusiastic about Houston getting a National Hockey League (NHL) team.

75% of Harris County registered voters are enthusiastic about Houston hosting seven Men’s Soccer World Cup games at NRG Stadium in the summer of 2026, while 25% are not enthusiastic.

Read to learn more about Harris County voters’ opinions about sports and entertainment options in Houston, including differences of opinion when considering gender, race/ethnicity, age, education and partisanship.

July 31, 2025

 

Research Team

Co-Investigator Renée Cross, Senior Executive Director & Researcher, Hobby School of Public Affairs

Co-Investigator Mark P. Jones, James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy's Fellow in Political Science, Rice University; Senior Research Fellow, Hobby School of Public Affairs 

Maria P. Perez ArgĂĽelles, Research Associate, Hobby School of Public Affairs

Savannah Sipole, Research Associate, Hobby School of Public Affairs

Communications Team

Diana Benitez, Program Director, Web & Graphic Design, Hobby School of Public Affairs

Victoria Cordova, Executive Director of Communications, Hobby School of Public Affairs

Jeannie Kever, Communications Consultant

Celeste Zamora, Communications Manager, Hobby School of Public Affairs